1. Executive Summary

From June 12 to June 18, Israel executed a bold and coordinated preemptive strike on Iran’s nuclear and military infrastructure under Operation Rising Lion. This included airstrikes on Natanz, Arak, and Tehran, targeting uranium enrichment sites and decapitating senior Iranian military leadership. Among those killed were IRGC Commander Hossein Salami and Armed Forces Chief Mohammad Bagheri. Israel stated its goal clearly: to prevent Iran from achieving nuclear weapons capability.

Iran responded with waves of missile and drone attacks on Israeli cities including Tel Aviv and Haifa. While Israel’s multilayer air defenses intercepted the majority, over 20 Iranian missiles struck civilian areas, resulting in 24 Israeli fatalities and more than 590 injuries. Iranian casualties from Israeli strikes have exceeded 220, with significant damage to military installations, power grids, and fuel depots.

The United States stood firmly behind Israel. President Trump warned Iran of greater consequences if escalation continued and deployed two aircraft carrier strike groups, fighter jets, and air defense assets to the region. Israel has signaled that the operation will continue until its objectives are met.

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2. What Happens Next

Israel’s military is preparing to target the hardened Fordow nuclear facility and remaining IRGC missile brigades. The Netanyahu government views this conflict as a once-in-a-generation opportunity to reset the regional balance of power by neutralizing Iran’s strategic threat.

Iran has lost a significant portion of its missile capacity but continues to fire sporadic salvos. It is also quietly testing diplomatic offramps through Qatar and Oman, while publicly threatening further retaliation.

U.S. policy is holding firm behind Israel. More military support may be provided if Iran escalates, including bunker-buster munitions. Meanwhile, regional powers like Saudi Arabia and the UAE are urging restraint, and energy markets remain volatile.

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3. Support from Public and Elected Officials

Federal Lawmakers:

• Public statements and resolutions affirming Israel’s right to preempt nuclear threats.

• Replenish Israel’s missile defense stockpiles.

• Block any sanctions relief until the Islamic Regime surrenders.

• Support the expansion of the Abraham Accords.

State and Local Officials:

• Public statements and introduction of resolutions of solidarity with Israel.

• Enforce Iran-related divestment and procurement laws.

• Adopt the IHRA definition of antisemitism.

• Expand state-to-state and sister-city relationships with Israel.

Advocates and Activists:

• Contact elected officials urging support for Israel.  (Click to take action.)

• Share accurate information countering Iranian disinformation.

• Attend pro-Israel rallies and events.

• Promote the Abraham Accords as the alternative to extremism.

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4. Detailed Statistics

Metric	Details
Iranian Missiles Launched	~370 total ballistic missiles since June 13
Israeli Interception Rate	80–90% success using Arrow, David’s Sling, and Iron Dome
Israeli Casualties	24 dead, ~590 injured (primarily civilians)
Iranian Casualties	224+ dead (including senior IRGC, scientists), hundreds injured
Some Israeli Damage	Bnei Brak, Haifa refinery, central Tel Aviv impacted
Major Iranian Damage	Natanz, Arak, Fordow (partial), IRIB HQ, oil depots, power grids
U.S. Deployments	USS Carl Vinson & USS Nimitz, F-22s, B-52s, refueling tankers
Economic Impact	Oil prices +15%, Gulf shipping lanes on alert

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5. Timeline of Key Events

June 12
Israel’s security cabinet authorizes preemptive strike. Last-minute nuclear talks in Oman collapse.

June 13
Israel launches Operation Rising Lion. Strikes hit Natanz, Arak, Tehran. Iran’s top generals killed.

June 14
Second wave targets IRGC air defenses and missile launchers. Tehran suffers widespread blackouts.

June 15
Iran launches limited retaliatory missile barrage; intercepted. Israel strikes IRGC command bunkers.

June 16
IRIB headquarters bombed. Iran fires largest missile salvo to date. Israeli casualties reach 20+.

June 17
Israel continues eliminating missile brigades. Iran reaches out via Gulf intermediaries for ceasefire.

June 18 (Early)
Final Iranian missile hits central Israel.

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6. ICAN Strategic Analysis (6+1 Framework)

Preventing a Nuclear Iran
This war has validated ICAN’s long-standing warning that Iran was on the cusp of nuclear breakout. Israel’s actions have delayed, if not dismantled, that capability. Now, the U.S. must ensure Iran’s program is never restarted – through diplomacy backed by maximum pressure and denial of all enrichment rights.

Strengthening the U.S.–Israel Alliance
Missile defense success proves the value of joint U.S.–Israel defense systems. Congress must accelerate Arrow-4 development and ensure uninterrupted funding for Iron Dome and David’s Sling.

Combating Antisemitism & Hate
As Iran stokes anti-Israel sentiment globally, Jewish communities remain vulnerable. U.S. officials at all levels must denounce antisemitic rhetoric, adopt the IHRA definition, and boost security funding for synagogues and schools.

Strengthening Advocacy on Campus
Iran’s proxies and sympathizers are weaponizing campus discourse to blame Israel. We urge swift response from university administrators, transparency on foreign funding, and protection of Israeli-American students.

Expanding Holocaust Education
Iran’s genocidal threats reinforce the need to educate new generations on where antisemitic ideology leads. States must adopt mandatory access to Holocaust education and reject ethnic studies curricula that vilify Israel.

Promoting the Abraham Accords
Gulf neutrality during this war reflects the Accords’ stabilizing power. The U.S. should expand normalization efforts, support regional security integration, and include Israel in a new Middle East defense umbrella.

Israel at War (Priority +1)
Israel is fighting a just, necessary war of self-defense. It has the right – and the responsibility – to prevent a nuclear holocaust. The United States must ensure this mission succeeds, diplomatically, militarily, and morally.

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